The thing about secrets is that they’re secret.

Today, a split Appeals Court ruled that the ACLU can’t sue to stop the Bush Administration from using secret warrantless wiretaps because they can’t prove their clients were actually wiretapped. For those of you who may have forgotten, this is the very same wiretap program that Mr. Gonzales thought was so important it was worth bothering Mr. Ashcroft in his hospital bed to try and get it authorized while the fellow was on plenty of pain medication. At the risk of stating the bleeding obvious, the point of secret wiretaps is collecting information without anybody knowing.

The court’s ruling — unless overruled by the Supreme Court — means that some people will have to prove they have been a victim harmed by this program before a new suit is brought. This is of course almost impossible to prove. Just about the only way to do so beyond a reasonable doubt is to have evidence from such surveillance used against them in court; that will never happen because even a lousy lawyer will think to ask about the search warrant, and any judge will agree that there really should have been one. Oh that pesky Fourth Amendment!

All of which brings us to the point that we really should all be able to agree on: if this program were really about catching terrorists, they would seek FISA warrants. This can be done up to three days after the fact, completely dismantling any “ticking time bomb” argument that could possibly be made. And if it isn’t about catching terrorists, what exactly is it about? Who exactly are they listening to? Why?

Oh, and many thanks to Pete Abel for nominating me a Thinking Blogger. I am going to have to give some serious consideration to who makes me think, because frankly just because I enjoy somebody’s writing doesn’t mean they make me think.

In closing: the Center is Progressive; great post (by another “Thinking Blogger”) about how a school is like the military (except of course we hope there are fewer weapons in school); even Apple Geeks has something political to say; one woman’s account of being Broke (and part two); is Net Neutrality dead?; there are more contractors than American soldiers in Iraq, and that’s without counting “security” contractors like Blackwater; you can teach a kid that fruits and veggies are good for him, but you may have to bribe him to eat them; Max says it best; some people are so scared of universal health that they want to make you think it causes doctors to become terrorists??; on freedom; and finally, this item on airline delays being worse if you actually care when the passenger arrives makes this item on CPI not accounting for degaded quality even more horrifying. Have a great weekend; I’ll be thinking about who makes me think.

Update: the Chicago Tribune headline incorrectly says this ruling means domestic wiretaps are “ok” when in fact, all they are ruling on is that the plaintiffs did not have any evidence that they were a target of the program, and thus had no “damages”, or a legal reason to sue. I personally like the quote from Senator “Go **** Yourself” Leahy towards the end: “The court’s decision is a disappointing one that was not made on the merits of the case, yet closed the courthouse doors to resolving it.” Somehow he managed to distill the whole situation into one sentence.

WTF??????

Ladies and Gentlemen, if you are a citizen of the United States of America (as opposed to the United States of George and Dick) prepare to be outraged. You will be in good company.

Scooter Libby has had his sentence commuted. Hours after a unanimous appeals court said he has to start serving his sentence immediately because they don’t think he has a snowball’s chance of winning an appeal , the President himself swooped in, usurping the authority of the Judiciary, and said Scooter can make do with fines and probation.

Oh but wait there’s more. Just go ahead and try to call the White House to let them know your opinion. They’ve decided not to answer the phones for the rest of the day. Frankly I think they’ll use the holiday — oh the irony — as an excuse not to answer the phone until next week.

So the President can’t afford to let Scooter go to jail? Fascinating! Couldn’t even wait to quietly handle this after the 2008 elections, like most normal Presidents? Sure he has the legal authority to do this, but the jury has yet to convene on the ethical authority. By doing this, the President has said in essence I am above the law, and it’s ok to out a spy as long as you are just following my orders.

Guess what, folks? It’s time for a civil suit. And please remember that it is now a well established legal fact that the President can be forced to testify in a civil suit. Maybe the Clinton-haters cut off their nose to spite their face.

So we can’t call the White House. But we can call Congress. According to these guys you can reach them toll free at 888-818-6641, 888-355-3588, 800-426-8073, 800-828-0498 and 800-SOB-USOB. We can call Harry, and we can call Nancy (Sweetie? You’d better have an inaugural gown in mind), and we can leave irate emails and faxes and voicemails for our Congressmen and Senators.

Well?? Get on it!

Oh, but it does matter to you.

I had finished working out when the nice lady on CNBC was talking about sub-prime mortgages, and noted with surprise something to the effect of “while you would expect sub-primes to mostly be in poor neighborhoods, in fact many turn out to be in some of the overheated housing markets that are currently experiencing downturns.” For example, places like Los Angeles and Las Vegas.

Now, the only thing that surprised me was her surprise. Part of the point of a bubble — any bubble — is that people buy and spend more than they can afford on fear that it will be even more expensive if they wait. It should be no shock that in the housing market, this meant many buyers would be turning to creative financing options. Aided and abetted by compliant appraisers and the market for mortgage backed securities — entities like Fannie Mae and Bear Stearns buying mortgages from the company that originally made the loan — this extra supply of buyers who otherwise could not afford to be in the market at all were helping maintain rising prices.

Now those buyers have to get out. Some are selling, which is contributing to a notable 5% increase in housing inventory, when inventory has been relatively stable for decades. Those who cannot get out are defaulting, and ending up in foreclosure. In some relatively small suburban neighborhoods, four or five banks own dozens of now-vacant houses.

Now, if you really want to know more about whether there is a housing bubble (I think there is regionally, maybe not nationally), and how it may be effecting the economy at large, your go-to man should be Dave Johnson over at Seeing the Forest. Even if I am correct about housing bubbles being regional, the fallout will be national.

Banks don’t want to own dozens of houses regionally or hundreds of houses nationally. That represents money tied up instead of working hard. And we aren’t talking about small, regional banks. We should be thankful for that, because a small bank would probably have to close if they had enough foreclosed property on the books. But the big, national banks that are involved want to get their money out. So they really have no choice but to sell for what they can get, hope to be even on the deal, and make profits elsewhere. Maybe they can raise the fees on your accounts again. They will certainly re-think loan standards. They will also be rethinking staffing levels both regionally and nationally. One major player, Bear Stearns, is at risk of takeover.

Neighbors don’t want empty houses sitting there, dragging down housing values that were too high to begin with, and attracting crime. They are going to have to live with lower housing values. This of course may put them in a pinch should they need any sort of refinancing, because they will need the house re-appraised and are unlikely to get approved for a loan high above the new, lower value of the house. And in some cases, the solution will involve a bulldozer.

All this action is going to reduce municipal tax bases. In short, there will be less money coming in for police, fire department, schools, roads, and the like. And good luck getting citizens to vote you a tax increase when their property has been decreasing in value.

And the people who have been forced out of their houses, either by sale or foreclosure? They still need an affordable place to live, close enough to their jobs that they can actually get there. Ultimately, the regional markets which are most effected are the ones where there are lots of jobs to be had, and for whatever reason (rent controls, geographical constraints) not quite enough housing for demand.

In closing, Carrie’s Nation is a very nice HR issues blog; even as we try to be more vigilant about Chinese imports, it’s hard to tell where food comes from (thanks to Big Agribusiness thwarting the rules), and in any event almost impossible to actually avoid Chinese imports for a whole week; is “Bush Bluffing”, or will Leahy really take him to court?; Zombie New Orleans slowly stumbles back to life; healthcare facts and figures versus the tricks of delightfully overheated rhetoric; in honor of Blog Against Theocracy week, some scary guys who think the First Amendment only protects their right to be whatever sort of Christian they want; and finally, not everybody gets LOLcats, “Well, they can’t spell very well. Because, see, they’re cats.”

Cross-posted at Central Sanity

An Apple a Day Keeps Meredith Vieira Away

If you haven’t been living in a cardboard box, you probably know that the iPhone is finally being released today. In fact, tough luck if you need to talk to somebody at the Apple Store between 2 and 6 today, as the store will be closed and employees prepping for the big roll-out. This little gadget has features that can briefly be described as everything but the kitchen sink. Some people are calling it the Jesus Phone, and others point out that there is a whole lot of hype, and really low chances of really being that good. Some commentators make this point more formally than others.

But before you get ready to camp outside the Apple Store, before you think about hiring some troll to do it for you, do yourself a favor and spend a few minutes watching the trouble Meredith Vieira has using it as, you know, a phone. I apologize in advance for the fact that you will need to watch a 30 second commercial first. Notice that this happened despite the fact that Apple sent a couple technicians along to make sure everything went right (and maintain physical security of the devices). If you have time, stick around to watch Stephen Levy demonstrate the cool features — and accidentally demonstrate that this phone will not do for many handicapped people. Sorry, “just move your hand like this” is a stretch for some people, no pun intended.

Before any of you Apple Cultists start on about how clearly I am not the target audience, I own a smartphone. Apple has claimed this device competes with smartphones. I have every important phone number I could need in my phone, including the Chinese restaurant that used to be on the way home. I have calendar events. I use the web browser to find information when I am out and about. I send text messages. Most importantly, I make phone calls — the one thing Ms. Vieira has demonstrated is a little difficult on this device. You know what I don’t do? I don’t browse my music collection on my phone. I don’t watch TV shows on my phone. In short, I need a phone with smart features; I don’t need a video iPod with a phone accessory.

Assuming they meet demand, assuming they can possibly meet their targets, I give it 6 months before rumors of bad batteries start to surface. And I’m willing to bet that’s expensive to replace.

In closing: it turns out the other shoe in this fake Botox scam dropped back in 2004; why does the United States want to keep information on travelers active for 7 years, and inactive 8 years beyond that?; it turns out that it’s mostly private dollars rebuilding New Orleans; the Supreme Court remembers that the First Amendment gives the people the right to recourse in the courts and doesn’t give Congress the right to say otherwise; and your brain on politics. Oh, and Maya’s Granny having her one year anniversary of blogging has reminded me that I’ve been at this 4 whole years now. Some of my favorite posts include I can vouch for him, Evil, these early ideas on tax simplification, practical advice on school programs, and the Dragon and the Tiger.

Have a great weekend, everyone!

To Your Health

I have two health-related items to share with you today.

The first is about the sun. Yesterday was the Solstice — that’s the day with the most sunlight all year (in the Northern Hemisphere, anyway) — and many people are engaging in outdoor activities. Sunscreen is vitally important if you are going to be outside during daylight hours, and that advice applies to kids as well as adults. Unfortunately, not all sunscreens are created equal, and some “either fall short of their claims or contain unsafe ingredients….” So what is a sun-conscious consumer to do? We already read labels and look for protection against both UVA and UVB, we look at the active ingredients, yet the label may be wrong!

Luckily, there is a new website in town that has done the important work of figuring out what the labels actually mean, and what the products actually do. You can find their summary here.

The second item is about new reports showing that hormone treatments for menopausal women maybe aren’t as bad for you as was feared a few years ago, and there are new guidelines reflecting that thinking. One thing that I will point out that I suspect you will not see mentioned elsewhere is that what modern medicine calls “Hormone Replacement Therapy” or HRT is actually Hormone Substitution Therapy. If you want the super long with a hundred pages of footnotes version, you’ll want to read this book. The 60-second summary is that human hormones can’t be patented, so drug companies make synthetic hormones out of things like horse pee that they can patent, except it’s not quite as good for you. If there is an interest in some middle ground of additional info, leave a comment and I will reply with some web resources.

In closing: Larry Kudlow is not better than Ezra; by way of follow up, Hillary and the Left; an article connecting the dots between the USDA, big Agriculture, and our ever bigger butts; a petition from Candlelighters; new CAFE standards (which aren’t law until the President signs them so keep your fingers crossed) would require both cars and SUVs to get 35 MPG by… say they didn’t mention a year; it looks like Dick Cheney thinks he’s above the law, Congressman replies Are Not! (ok, he puts it nicer than that); results of the Schneier movie plot contest; who knew Sci-Fi Heaven was in Riverside, CA; and Japan’s Agency for Cultural Affairs is kind enough to give us the 50 best anime of all time.

Outsource This!

The principle behind “outsourcing” is simple: “if there is a benefit to having somebody else do something, why should I do it myself?” For example, let’s say you have a friend whose birthday is coming up and you happen to know that your friend likes chocolate cake. You could bake a cake from scratch using a recipe like one of these, but you may not have the time or the necessary skills; you could make a cake from a mix, which is a lot cheaper and a lot easier, but even though it is less of a time commitment it may still take more free time than you have. Or you could pick up a pre-made, beautifully frosted cake from the bakery department of your local grocery store. It might cost more than a box of cake mix (probably on a par with the cost of making from scratch), but you know it’s been done right (even if it isn’t quite as mouthwateringly delicious as a well-prepared homemade cake), and it’s almost instant from your standpoint.

Clearly, I am applying the term “outsourcing” in a very broad fashion that is appropriate for home, office, and large organizations. You may have noticed that the decision to do something “in house” or to “outsource” depends on many factors, including cost, time available, and ability to complete the task. Unfortunately, too few people and organizations faced with this decision ask themselves the other version of my simple question: “Wait, what exactly is the benefit of having somebody else do this?”

Many people make decisions only using one of the factors we have laid out: I don’t know anything about electrical wiring so I’d better hire an electrician instead of tearing into things myself; I don’t have time to cook dinner so I have to get take-out; I don’t have enough money to buy a pre-made cake at Albertsons, so I’d better get that cake mix. This isn’t necessarily a bad thing, sometimes it is merely a necessary thing. Trust me, when the breaker has popped is the wrong time to learn about household wiring.

These decisions change according to scale, too. If you owned, say, a duplex, it’s probably best to hire an electrician and be done with it. But if on the other hand you own a 100 unit apartment complex, you almost certainly will save money putting a handyman on staff, who can not only do basic electrical work, but also basic plumbing, carpentry, repairs, tile work, HVAC, appliance troubleshooting, and the like. Not only that, you will probably save time not having to find, make appointments with, and pay the various contractors our theoretical handyman replaces.

But why stop there? Lets say that apartment complex sits on about 6 acres of land. Why 6 acres? Because I happen to know from experience that one can have all the landscaping on 6 acres done on a weekly basis — including seasonal color and maintenance of the sprinkler system — for about $1800 per month. I double checked that figure with an industry insider this morning. That size is big enough that it might not be cost effective to have your handyman mowing lawns; there are too many other things he could be doing on a property that size. This is known as opportunity cost, and it’s the same type of decision we made above regarding the birthday cake, namely that time and money we spend one place can’t be spent another place. But how many 6 acre apartment communities do we have to arrange landscaping on before it becomes cost effective to lease a truck, buy some garden tools, and hire another guy to mow those lawns? Remember, you’ll be hiring a “pro” who will almost certainly do a better job than your handyman could, even if he did have the time. Does it stop being merely “cost effective” and become “profitable” if we hire out his excess capacity mowing other lawns? Now we are starting — just barely — to touch upon economies of scale, the idea that if we do enough of one thing, the cost of each unit of that one thing may go down.

So now we have demonstrated that there are sometimes benefits to outsourcing, and sometimes benefits do doing things in house. For example, GM outsources a lot of work not related to building cars, yet they still own a large chunk of their finance arm, GMAC, and furthermore some of their outsourcing adventures such as their Delphi subsidiary are not doing so well. Delphi in particular is a reminder to ask what benefit we get from outsourcing; the idea that an “independent” company could do the same work with the same workers and the same equipment for less money seems like a prescription for disaster.

Strangely enough, this brings me to today’s news. The International Herald Times tells us that the recent problem with Thomas the Tank Engine toys that may be giving kids lead poisoning is a tale of “hubris” and “the realities of offshoring….” Although many sources will be eager to correct me that offshoring is not the same as outsourcing, they still work on the same principal: goods are made (or certain services rendered) by people who do not work for the parent company, normally at a substantially reduced cost (because it still costs money to ship things around the world), freeing up the parent company to focus on things like “core competencies.” The only difference is what country the workers are in. Issues of worker’s rights, safety conditions, local laws, international trade, the cost in money and fuel of transporting finished goods, foreign standards of living, environmental issues of foreign nations, and the like are important in the grand scheme of things, but a footnote to our current conversation.

The thing that we as consumers must remember about such outsourcing, the IHT tells us, is that it allows American companies to charge top dollar for cheaply made imported goods that might be bad for us while making oversized profits and claiming to know nothing about what happens behind the doors of their manufacturer. It’s clear how that benefits certain companies, but it sure doesn’t benefit us. And that’s without even mentioning American workers.

Nor are American corporations alone in outsourcing; the Federal Government does it too. That article points out that “There are now more people doing federal jobs under corporate contracts than there are people employed directly by the government.” They’ve outsourced all kinds of things under the publicly stated principle that “private industry can always do it better than government” while ignoring the principle that “for-profit corporations are in business to make a profit.” The idea that private industry is always better also ignores the potential economy of scale issues involved in something being done by an entity as massive as a national government. Of course the privately help principles at work sure seem to involve helping buddies make a buck. And just like our situation with Chinese made poison toys, the buck just keeps getting passed around, because everybody claims ignorance and nobody is responsible, except just maybe some low-level, expendable grunt. Sound familiar?

While Mr. Hightower’s article focuses on issues such as military support, the college loan program, the proposed privatization of Social Security and the like, the fact is that some people would also like to outsource, or “privatize” schools (through charter schools and vouchers) and even national parks, which were specifically made national parks because they were too important to be in the hands of individuals.

Clearly this is a time to start asking — and keep asking — that question: “Wait, what exactly is the benefit of having somebody else do this?”

In closing: a wall runs through campus, the proposed border fence (which most people see as a waste of time and money) will actually be well on the American side of the border, splitting a community, wreaking environmental havoc, and creating passport issues for students and other citizens — but remember, an obscure provision of Real ID says they can build their wall without respect to any other darn laws, and no court has any jurisdiction to stop them; murder may be a sin, but more importantly it’s a crime punishable by life in prison; the GAO Subcommittee on the Obvious reports that government agencies ignore the laws that President Bush signs while saying they don’t apply; when you don’t think about zebras you spend a lot of time figuring out why certain horses have stripes, or “Refugee illnesses often misdiagnosed in U.S.”; the Left doesn’t like Hillary, but check out the rest of the story here and here; if the economy is so darn great how come Best Buy is complaining about consumers tightening spending and a poll says the economy is getting worse; an item on a film called No Child Left Unrecruited; something for Archeology buffs, Lost Kingdom of the Upper Upper Upper Nile; and maybe not new, but still cool, thanks to Brian for pointing out some of the world’s smallest computers.

An evening on the patio

Regular readers know that I don’t normally resort to ranting about personal experiences. In fact I can only remember doing it once before, about a banking experience a few months ago. The same disclaimers apply more or less: the events I am about to describe did occur; my reporting of said events may be colored by my outrage; management is welcome — encouraged, in fact — to reply. When I have verified the origin of such a reply and the authority of the sender to make it, I will post it in an update to this post.

Saturday evening (June 16, 2007), I settled into a chair on the patio of one of what had been one of my favorite restaurants, Kona Grill. This little chain has about 15 locations in 10 states, and is traded on the NASDAQ under the ticker KONA. We liked this place so much, we have probably eaten there 3 times in the last 4 weeks. I have never had a bad meal there. I was looking forward to enjoying a glass of wine and some of their fabulous appetizers such as avocado egg rolls and tuna wasabi. Hey, it’s fusion cuisine, don’t knock it ’till you’ve tried it!

We enjoyed some drinks. We had some appetizers. We had some very nice sushi. It was a lovely evening, sitting in 99 degree weather with the misters going.

After we ordered dessert (ok it was another appetizer) is when things got strange. Between songs on their stereo, the volume went up. It wasn’t just tweeked a little; it got quite a lot louder. This is something that has happened before, and in the past a nice word to one of the staff members was all it took to bring things back to a reasonable level. The volume control is right by the bar, so the bartender is the person in control of it. The bartender happened to open a window less than 10 feet away from us, so we took this as an opportunity to catch his eye.

Imagine our surprise to instead receive an obscene gesture.

I could hardly believe what I had just seen. However, before I could say anything my husband exclaimed that he had seen the same thing I had seen. Now I was mad. And I probably overreacted, shouting something to the effect of “Turn down that stereo and don’t you dare shoot us the bird!” I think our waitress must have been just coming out the door at the moment; my husband told her to get a manager right now. He showed up within 60 seconds, and that was the last thing the manager did right.

We explained what had happened to the young man in the light blue shirt and pink tie that claimed to be the manager (alas, no name tag, no corporate logo, and no name offered). There are many things he could have said at that moment. Things like “let me find out what happened and I’ll be right back,” or “I agree that’s totally unacceptable, sir,” or “I understand why you are unhappy sir,” not even “I’m terribly sorry, how can I make this up to you, sir?” Instead he explained that it’s policy to keep the music on the patio loud, and as for the bartender he said — and I quote — “What do you want me to do?”

My thoughts: be a manager; it’s your job. The manager gets to decide what to do, but he has to do something. Instead, all signs were that he was going to do nothing.

My husband said “What I want you to do is fire him, but I know that’s not going to happen. He’s going to deny he did it, and you need him pouring drinks on a Saturday.” The manager admitted that was so (causing me to wonder what a bind they would have been in if the bartender had called in sick). We don’t want money off our bill (it wasn’t offered); we don’t want empty apologies (not that any were forthcoming); we want this to never happen again. We are grown-ups and know that everybody gets mad at people sometimes. This bartender’s urge to insult could have been handled in his apron, under the bar, or several other places where customers did not have to see it, and we said so.

The manager continued to condescend to us as our dessert arrived, but by then neither of us particularly had an appetite. He left, and I don’t honestly remember whether the volume of the music ever went down or not. Shortly after, my husband saw a not-obscene but clearly hostile gesture towards him personally, an effort to goad us. Just the kind of guy a lady wants mixing her drinks.

Not long after, our waitress came by with the check, sat down with us at our table, and personally apologized for what had happened. She mentioned that she had talked to the bartender, who claimed the initial gesture had not been at us — as if that somehow made it acceptable. Ok, so he admits he made an obscene gesture where customers (and their children) could see it. Nice. And he gets to keep his job, in a town where guys are pushing one another under the bus to work a busy bar on a Saturday night.

For the record, we paid our bill in full, with a generous tip. Our receipt has a hand written note from our waitress, Tiffanie, reading “I’m very sorry! Thank you!” At least one person understands customer service. What a shame it isn’t the management.

*** Important Update June 18, 2007 *** Within 12 hours of posting this item, I received a comment from a man who identifies himself as the bartender. Please check it out for yourself. As much as I appreciate hearing from him, it is clear that the incident in question has filtered through management, inasmuch as it is highly unlikely that he was an established reader horrified to find himself my topic.

*** Update Two June 19, 2007 *** This morning I received a personal email from the District Manager. It appears to have been sent shortly after I went to bed last night; we all know that restaurateurs often work brutal hours. He expressed his regrets both at the events that occurred and management reaction to them. Furthermore, he expressed his intent to share this incident with the management team in an effort to improve customer experiences. On site management is still silent; corporate policy may be that once Head Office gets involved, they are to let it be handled from above. This is understandable, and almost certainly how I would want things done if I managed a multi-location business.

*** Update Three, later June 19, 2007 *** I have now also received an email of apology from the General Manager of the local Kona Grill (who outranks the fellow in the blue shirt from Saturday). He assures me that he has spoken both to the manager on duty about his action/inaction, and the bartender about his actions. Further more he tells me “appropriate corrective measures” are being taken, and my account of the incident is being shared with the entire staff “as a serious reminder that we cannot afford to fall short of expectations.” I must absolutely commend pretty much everybody except the shift manager Saturday for responding to customer complaints. According to the timestamp on this email, it was sent less than 24 hours after this post.

Mr. Shorties

Hi folks! Don’t forget to check in over at Central Sanity now and then (or at least get the RSS feed) or you’ll miss things I’ve written over there recently like “The F in FBI is for Fun” and “Yes Virginia, there is an NRA Approved Gun Law”.

Follow up: Just because it cost a lot doesn’t mean it’s any good. It turns out that idea applies to healthcare too.

The funny things people dig out of the ground: This week’s treasures includes a giant bird-like dinosaur, the wall that Romulus might have killed Remus for jumping over (maybe), and a 1957 Plymouth.

Thank goodness somebody said it: Wil Wheaton has come out and said what most of us are thinking, the election cycle is way way too long. Granted, he says it a little more colorfully than I generally would. He even has a theory about why:

I believe that these outrageously long cycles are all about money, which is all about corporations and PACs, which leads me to believe that elections are more about perpetuating a Plutocracy than engaging the population in a dialog of ideas.

Unfortunately the CIA is prohibited by law from interfering in domestic affaires: It turns out that some CIA veterans are concerned about the “Rule of Law” in the Bush and Post-Bush era.

Somebody read that darn disclaimer at the bottom of all the ads for investment products: Bear with him, he’s an economist (and therefore a little dry to read). The fact remains that somebody is willing to go on the record saying that No single investment vehicle is right for everybody, and that includes the purchase of a family home. I would like to vigorously correct one fact he cites, “Owning a home is often cheaper than renting.” More accurately, owning a home is often cheaper than renting a house. This critical distinction is due to the fact that the person who rents out a house must pay the mortgage and still wishes to make a profit over that. Renting by itself is a different kettle of fish; in many markets, a decent apartment or rented condo can be cheaper than a mortgage payment. The choice to rent or own, stand-alone home or part of a building of attached homes is a decision each family should make based on their own needs, future plans, and financial situation. Just because “Americans widely view homeownership as the best choice for everyone, everywhere and at all times” doesn’t mean it is really the best choice for any particular person at any particular time.

Oh waah: “Democrats fear that the focus on the war has blurred.” Harry Reid went on to say of those of us who use our own personal soapboxes to speak out against the war: “I understand their disappointment. We raised the bar too high.” No, Harry, it’s like I told you in that open letter: we want out; they want us out; we understand that if you guys had held your ground, there would be either no more money to fight this thing (forcing an end right now), or a compromise involving a firm timeline to get out. Oh, and I did get a reply from one Congressmouse. You can see it in the “read more,” but it’s roughly summarized “Now don’t you worry about a thing, little lady! We won’t let those bad old Democrats force us to give up!”

Huh, apparently there are no more problems faced by People of Color because of their race: the Justice Department is much more worried about discrimination on religious grounds than pretty much anything that would benefit people who aren’t white. Except sex slaves. They like saving sex slaves. Really! It’s in the article! I am imaginative, but I can’t make stuff like that up.

Funny how people turn progressive when you ask them where they stand on individual issues: There’s a new report — with footnotes even — that suggests Americans are not nearly as conservative as our political theatre would have you believe. Summary here, commentary here.

Security Theatre Act XVIII: Scene one, Reagan Airport. A woman dares to follow the first rule of traveling with a child, provide for the child’s needs first, and ends up threatened with arrest over a sippy cup. She offered to drink the contents of the cup right then and there! Instead, she is seemingly deliberately delayed just enough to miss her flight (because everyone wants a lady with a now-cranky toddler to spend a few more hours in the airport, right?), and threatened with arrest a few more times. The kid is needless to say screaming! She is furthermore accused of deliberately spilling some of the contents of said cup! Let me tell you something, even if the other people in line didn’t know it, they were glad that kid had the cup. After all it kept him quiet and happy. And really, how stupid would you have to be to transport bomb-making materials in something apt to spill? This story has an update: the TSA denies it happened, despite the fact that the security camera footage is available for you to watch. Scene two, O’Hare Airport. a clown has his makeup confiscated. Ok, I think they just proved who the real clown is, and it’s not the guy with the costume.

Back from the Dead: the immigration bill that just won’t die is back, still including crap like biometric Social Security Cards and the official fallible list of eligible workers, but now with new! added money for border agents. Particularly hilarious are Trent Lott’s comments that we need to rein in talk radio hosts (where were you on this 5 years ago, Trent?), and Harry Reid saying yeah yeah we’ll get right on that as soon as we are done with the energy bill. That would be the same energy bill Republicans are threatening to filibuster because it contains a committment to renewable energy. Pull up the popcorn, this could take a while.

A brief rant on being a ShortWoman: I get carded; I occasionaly get “childrens menued”. I often have no choice but to climb on supermarket shelves to reach things. I keep a stepstool upstairs, and another one downstairs. I have to take my time test-driving a car to make sure it fits me and not just my family’s needs, but frankly I just usually head for the Japanese models. I am not petite, I am short. I have not been able to shop in a “petite” section with any reliability for something like 7 years. That’s when the standard “petite” inseam went from 27″ (just a little long but ok) to 28″ (ground-dragging). One retailer went to a 29.5″ inseam. I know 6′ tall men who wear a 30″ inseam! Nor am I alone in not being able to find clothes that fit. Look around next time you are at the mall. You will see many women under the “average” height of 5’4″ with obviously re-hemmed pants, monstrous heels hidden under pants that are way too long, and my personal favorite, pants dragging on the ground being destroyed by the wearer’s own shoes. Some women — I’ll leave it to you about whether they are lucky or not — are able to find clothes in the girls section; alas I actually have a figure. I solve the problem by buying any pair of pants that comes roughly to the tops of my shoes, even if the label says “cropped” or “capris”. I occasionally supplement this by ordering from Lands End, where they hem many items to order and have a 26″ inseam jean. Oh, and I wear skirts whenever possible. I actually considered running this site as a fashion and shopping site for other Short Women. So imagine my delight to find in one day Jill from Brilliant at Breakfast talking about being “normal sized” as well as Cynthia of Shorties Stories Rant, a companion site to her original site, Shorties Stories. I’m terribly sorry if you’re too tall to get it.

Have a great weekend, everybody.
Continue reading Mr. Shorties

Even the stuff to help you pay for it is too expensive.

I promised a piece on healthcare, and here it is. A couple more bits of reading before we really get started: Ezra Klein brings us commentary on consumer driven health plans (you remember, the kind that the Ownership Society, free markets crowd, and libertarians think will magically bring costs into line) that boils down to “So employees aren’t signing up, they don’t like the plans when they do sign up, and they don’t use them correctly when they’re enrolled.” Jill from Brilliant at Breakfast pointed me to this New York Times article on early symptoms of ovarian cancer have been identified, and new guidelines will hopefully save lives . The article specifically points out that “There are so many horror stories of doctors who have told women to ignore these symptoms or have even belittled them on top of that.” Jill quotes large swaths of the article for those who hate signing in at the NYT, and comments that “Tucked away in this article, so subtle that you can hardly notice it, is the spectre of cost considerations.” Yes, maybe we can save your life, assuming your doctor doesn’t tell you it’s all in your head or otherwise misdiagnose it, assuming we find it early enough, but it will cost you. We also have a Freakonomics review of an article on whether or not there really is an Autism epidemic. Some of the factors involved include “better reporting/diagnosing” (which, like ovarian cancer screening, costs money) and “more funds available for treatment….” Further down my browser tabs, we have what amounts to a frequent flier plan for healthcare: members “earn points that can be redeemed to pay for any health service, prescription, elective procedure, gym membership, wellness product, contribution to Health Savings Accounts (HSA) and many more products and services. Points can even be applied toward health insurance premiums in certain states. The rewards program can also be set up as a health points community, similar to other social networking models where all members can collectively earn points on each purchase.” Apparently there is a credit card involved. And last but not least, Maya’s Granny alerts us to an AMA plan to screen all kids for obesity and agressively treat them. Ok, yes there’s an obesity problem in this country, but this is not the answer.

Alright then. I think most of us can agree that we have a healthcare problem in this nation, namely that many people can’t afford healthcare, and many others can’t afford (or question spending lots of money on) the insurance that is supposed to help people pay for healthcare. It has gotten to the point where pretty much everyone agrees that healthcare is a major issue of the 2008 elections (kindly disregard the calendar, which foolishly points out that we’re 6 months away from 2008), and all the major candidates have a Plan that is supposed to make sure everyone has healthcare insurance, even though none of them will actually work (except Kucinich, who has for a long time insisted that we need true, single payer Universal Health). I have addressed these plans as they came up, including Mitt Romney and the Massachusetts model. This is a very complicated issue, and before we consider the solutions, we should really define the problems more clearly than “it costs too darn much!” In the interests of simplicity, I am breaking these issues into three main categories: issues faced by doctors, issues faced by patients and consumers of health insurance policies, and issues faced by insurance companies themselves.

Insurance Companies: Early on, I argued that insurance makes things cost more. Even if an insurance company is a non-profit or a mutual — and very few are anymore — they have bills to pay like rent and electricity, they have employees who deserve a living wage, they have advertising to buy, they have paperwork to process. That means they cannot put your entire premium into paying for your healthcare, and that was one of several problems that HSAs were supposed to fix (more on that later). Of course a for-profit insurance company has as its first goal “making money,” regardless of what their mission statement reads. That is not an indictment, just a fact; it’s part of what corporations are designed to do.

Because insurance is regulated at the state level, any real reform has to occur at the state level. On one hand this is great, because it gives us up to 50 tries to find something that really works. On the other hand, can you name your state insurance commissioner? Yeah, I thought not. Being state officials, they are relatively poorly paid, and they often come out of the insurance industry they are supposed to regulate. Both these problems makes them subject to certain, um, biases.

Insurance works on the principal that “bad things can’t happen to everybody all at once.” Actuaries figure out how likely bad things are to happen, and how much money the company has to charge to cover it. The goal is to get enough money from the people to whom nothing bad happens to pay for the guy that does end up with the bad thing. If there is extra money at the end, it gets invested. However, somewhere along the line insurance companies found they could save money (either boosting profits or allowing them to reduce premiums) by choosing not to insure people statistically likely to cost them money, choosing not to cover already known bad things (“pre-existing conditions”), or charging a lot more money for people apt to need lots of care. The people holding the short end of this stick are the people who would most benefit from having health insurance that covered their problem, and they are the people who will pay the most for the least coverage, assuming they can get a policy at all (again, more on that later).

Another important breakthrough for cost-containment at insurance companies are negotiated payouts. This is a fancy way of saying “Look, I know your superbill says procedure X costs $100, but we are going to pay you $52 plus the patient’s co-pay. In return, we are going to put you in our directory of official approved doctors, which should theoretically bring you more business and put you ahead. Furthermore, we actually promise to pay you within 30 days, instead of the ‘within 90’ you would get without this deal.” If one or two insurance companies control enough of a local market, they can dictate the price of healthcare down to the penny. Needless to say, this has a huge impact on doctors, which I shall address later.

Yet another cost containment strategy is the “gatekeeper” model and its cousin, “run these steps in order.” Not surprisingly, the gatekeeper model means that you have to get permission from your regular health care provider to see a specialist. They don’t call it permission, of course, they call it a “referral.” It means the same thing and it makes patients mad when they realize it is happening. Maybe that surgeon your doctor recommends is his choice because they know each other and he trusts the guy to do a good job; maybe he’s just the surgeon who can see you on the approved insurance list. You’ll never know. Particularly if you are in the emergency room. “Run these steps” probably has a fancy name, and it has a noble purpose, namely making sure everyone gets quality care and the obvious is not overlooked. It’s “When you hear hoofbeats, think horses before zebras” brought to its illogical conclusion. Basically, a cheap test for the simple thing is required before the insurance company will authorize a more expensive test for a more complicated thing. X-Ray before MRI, that sort of thing. It’s probably a good idea in a teaching hospital where there are lots of interns and residents. However, experienced doctors — particularly the ones that tend to be “zebra magnets” — tend to hate “run these steps” because they already have the diagnostic acumen to tell horse hooves from zebra hooves without some bureaucrat telling him to see if it has a solid coat before looking for stripes. All he wants is the one test that confirms his suspicions, and he sees the cheap test as a waste of time and money telling him what he already new.

Patients and consumers of healthcare plans: I have already mentioned some of the problems, such as the inability of people who really need coverage to get it. But the biggest single problem that both patients and the people who buy insurance face is that it costs a lot of money. I mention these separately because usually they are different people. The overwhelming majority of people who are insured in this country have policies purchased by their employers. Because the employer’s priorities are necessarily not the same as the patient’s priorities, there is something of a disconnect. I used to think that taking the employer out of the picture and making people responsible for their own coverage (with certain changes in the tax code and the types of insurance available) would solve the problem and bring prices down as consumers voted with their wallets. While this may have been true 10 years ago or even 5 years ago, I do not believe it is true now. Nevertheless, the argument that “people overuse healthcare because they don’t see the true cost” is practically a conservative mantra, and it resulted in the Health Savings Account (HSA). The idea is you put money into this account, buy an insurance policy that doesn’t cover very much, and use the funds in the account to pay for healthcare. The problem is that most of us don’t have thousands of dollars to set aside; if we did we wouldn’t need health insurance. Oh, and anybody who has actually tried to purchase an individual health insurance account, whether through an insurance agency or via COBRA knows exactly what insurance costs. Trust me on this. COBRA in particular is a bad joke, allowing people who have lost their job (and thus their income) to pay the complete cost of their coverage plus a handling fee.

I also consider the “people overuse healthcare because they don’t see the true cost” argument disingenuous because very few people see the doctor just for fun. They visit a doctor because they have a health issue they want fixed, whether that issue is as simple as acne or as serious as chest pain. When you have crushing chest pain, you are not in a position to go hunting for the best price on a hospital bed (besides as we have already seen the insurance company negotiates that for you).

The other issue that must be addressed concerning employer-purchased insurance plans is that not everyone has an employer. As I have said before, this is the problem with the various “reform” and “universal” plans being floated currently; they depend on employers buying insurance. Companies have tax advantages buying insurance that consumers do not. For example, Joe Average can’t deduct premiums at all (in some states he has to have a notarized letter saying he isn’t eligible for employer-based coverage), and the self-employed can only deduct health insurance premiums if their spouse is not eligible for an employer based plan. For a country that claims to value the entrepreneurial spirit, we have a funny way of showing it in our tax code! We will never know how many companies failed or were never started of health insurance.

As little as 30 years ago, there was a solution for the problem of people who just plain could not afford vital medical care. It was called the sliding scale, and it meant that poor patients did not pay as much as wealthy ones. Unfortunately, this bit of philanthropy was killed by the negotiated payments I mentioned earlier. The contract that the doctor signs with the insurance company (which he does because he figures some money is better than no money) forbids him charging a lower fee to other patients — never mind that the insurance company is actually paying far less than the posted price it demands the doctor charge others. That is how we end up with items like this USA Today story about hospital bills being a whole lot higher for the uninsured.

People who can’t afford medical care may sound like somebody else’s personal problem, but in fact it is a public health issue. Imagine if Andrew Speaker had never seen the doctor and never had his tuberculosis diagnosed. Sure, maybe if he were poor and uninsured he wouldn’t have gone on those overseas flights. Instead, he would merely have spread his germs around his neighborhood and workplace, perhaps infecting hundreds of people in a similar socio-economic position before somebody figured it out. This focus on pain and suffering completely ignores the lost productivity of people suffering symptoms, and the loss to society (as a worker, volunteer, care-giver, etc.) should the disease be fatal. Don’t forget the added expense of treating all the people who were unnecessarily exposed.

Any discussion of consumer pressures on healthcare spending would be incomplete without mentioning the extremely healthy elephant in the room: there are very simply more things to spend our healthcare money on. Now we have tests to find lots of diseases, and new treatments when we find them. We have ways to cure conditions that a few decades ago would have been a death sentence. We have hundreds of new drugs every year. We have a battery of vaccines that prevent a host of deadly ailments. We have more preventative care; a routine physical now includes a half dozen screening tests, some of which didn’t exist 30 years ago. State laws mandating that insurance cover things like preventative care and birth control pills are a double-edged sword when it comes to cost control. While it may indeed be cheaper to treat problems early, the cost of millions of tests may well outweigh the cost-benefit over hundreds of patients. I am aware that this view completely discounts quality of life issues; it is only intended in a financial context.

In addition to the healthy elephant in the living room, we have a somewhat unhealthy gorilla in the kitchen. Obesity has been on a steady rise for the last 30 years; the current rate is about 33%, and those people are at a higher risk for such expensive to treat conditions as diabetes, dyslipidemia, hypertension, heart disease, stroke, osteoarthritis, respiratory problems, and some cancers. Do not forget that there are almost as many merely overweight people as there are obese people, and they too have more health problems than people of “normal” weight. It’s hard to call it normal when about 2/3 of the population is abnormal.

Oh yeah, and there’s the fact that the baby boomers are getting older, and suffering all the common afflictions of getting older.

Doctors: It’s easy to blame the doctors. They’re the ones that charge money to the end customer, or “patient.” But they have issues of their own. First, a new doctor graduates medical school with a median student loan debt of $115,000 (in 2003, and the numbers are not getting better). At this point he only has a provisional license; to become fully licensed he must do an internship with lousy hours and lousy pay. He is at a point in his life where there are family pressures to do things like have kids and buy a house (“After all, you’re out of school, you’re a doctor now!”) And due to changes to the student loan program during the Bush 41 Administration, his loans have already started to accrue interest. Sure, there are loan forgiveness programs, working in underserved areas, but these programs are “oversubscribed” and usually involve moving to a remote area. That’s why it’s “underserved.” Oh, and politically correct language notwithstanding, most doctors are male, which is why I use male pronouns.

He has insurance problems too. In addition to things like general liability insurance, he has to buy malpractice insurance every year. If you think your health insurance premiums have gone up too darn much, you may not want to know what his is doing. For the last several years, depending on the state of course, median increases have been 15-73% to rates of as little as $10,000 or as much as $100,000. Any business student can see you can’t have increases of that magnitude without the ability to pass on the expense. At least, not if you want to stay in business.

Oh wait. Remember those negotiated fees with the insurance company? Those are often as little as 40 cents on the dollar. He has almost no power to renegotiate these agreements unless he is a member of a huge medical group so large that the insurance company can’t afford to not be accepted there. Even if he does, the agreement usually says that the insurance company can change things at any time.

The doctor has employees too, and he has to pay them a fair wage because nursing in particular is a very competitive field. Once you account for his staff — and paying for their health insurance — he probably needs to see 3 patients every hour before he can even think about paying rent on his office.

In closing: Follow-up, more states Just Say No to Real ID; if the economy is so great, how come food prices have spiked and foreclosures have almost doubled; a nice item on poverty, the media, and John Edwards; Neo-con rhetorical baby steps on civil liberties and public schools; on a related note, see the actual issues survey sent by the Republican party, and note the alarmist and biased way it is written; DINOsaurs vs. Dean-ocrats (related news, the President and a Nixon-era “hatchet man” spoke to a Baptist convention where they later broadened their political agenda to include the environment); the attorney firing scandal may yet trace back to Karl Rove, and subpoenas are in play; and finally Barbara Ehrenreich once more misses the point. She thinks “Undocumented workers shouldn’t be fined; they should get a hefty bonus!” and goes on to argue that once these people are here, they don’t do anything bad and we could only do without them if “offices clean themselves at night and salad greens spring straight from the soil onto one’s plate.” A new spin on “jobs Americans won’t do,” dear? Well here’s the thing, Barbara. Without them, the “unscrupulous employers” that you admit underpay their illegal workers and fail to provide for their safety would have to pay a decent wage to workers who can legally do the job, and who will furthermore insist upon doing things in a manner that keeps them safe. And you know what else? Sure, the majority of illegal immigrants just want a decent life, but there is a minority who are genuine Bad Guys. Because they are — how do you say — “undocumented”, we have no way of knowing which of them might be drug dealers, slave mongers, pimps, members of organized crime groups, members of terrorist groups. Lou Dobbs might be wrong about the leprosy thing, but he is right that border security is national security.

Follow-up: the ArchCrone asks Why are none of the front-runners advocating real health care for all; Forbes tells us “A new study finds large disparities in how different states perform in reference to quality of health care, with some states outdoing others by a factor of two or even three”; and Shakesville’s newest contributor gives us a different viewpoint on weight and health. Of course, she considers me “literally a freak of nature.” Read it to find out why!

Remember, we only have this one planet.

Just a little round-up of ecology, pollution, and clean energy items from this week.

Remember that plant that was supposed to turn Turkey Poop into electricity without polluting? I seem to recall having said it sounded great, if it were really true. Well it turns out it’s a little messier than we were initially told.

In Japan, some folks have started invoking the Kami to prevent illegal dumping. Kami, if I may horribly oversimplify, are sort of a combination of deities and guardian spirits and (sometimes) ghosts of ancestors.

A local interest story! Just outside Las Vegas really is a terrific place for a huge solar energy farm.

Something that should have been a good idea turns into a biofuel boondoggle:

The maneuver begins with a shipload of biodiesel from, say, Malaysia, which pulls into a US port like Houston, says John Baize, an industry consultant in Falls Church, Va. Unlike domestic diesel-biodiesel blends, which typically contain from 1 to 10 percent of biodiesel, the Malaysian fuel starts off as 100 percent biodiesel, typically made from palm oil.

Then, the vessel receives from a dockside diesel supplier a “splash” of US petroleum diesel. It doesn’t take much to turn it into a diesel-biodiesel blend that is eligible for US subsidies.

If the ship holds roughly 9 million gallons, it takes only about 9,000 gallons of traditional diesel (0.1 percent of the total) to make the entire load eligible for the blenders tax credit.

Did you know there’s a giant toxic waste pool under Brooklyn?

The Economist brings us the most comprehensive article on recycling I’ve ever read.

In closing: don’t forget to check out my item yesterday on Central Sanity called Surely there is room for balance; The L.A. Times tells us something we already knew, that healthcare costs are particularly brutal for companies that provide retirement benefits; the tourism industry is worried about new passport rules; John Edwards is not afraid to say “I don’t know,” and “I wish I had an answer”; the amazing disapearing American Center for Voting Rights; an interview with al Sadr; and finally, virtual Rome.