Rosemary’s Shorties

Presented in no particular order….

Midwives. Unfortunately both sides are right; Childbirth is a natural process, but it can go wrong. And if the lady who cuts my hair at that place next to the Kroger needs a license, then the lady who helps you deliver a baby should probably have one too.

Worried about the NSA listening in on your phone calls? The guy who brought us “Pretty Good Privacy” for email has something for you. If you are in a high tech industry and are worried about corporate espionage, this might be what you need.

Speaking of high tech, wouldn’t it be nice if the Biotech industry made money in addition to making new drugs?

Without DeLay. My favorite quote: “I’m a realist. I’ve been around awhile. I can evaluate political situations.” Now, what can we do about Frist?

What have I been saying about Adjustable Rate Mortgages for about two years now? I’ve been saying that you should refinance them at the earliest opportunity. Follow-up: Denver — Disturbing and Sad.

Follow up on immigration and guest workers: “If you ask me, the term ‘guest worker’ is another way of saying, ‘Welcome! Kneel!'” and “Battle at the bottom isn’t just for immigrants.”

Myth of the Opt-Out Mom is pretty self-explanatory.

And last but not least, Chinese official calls for sale of U.S. debt. He’s not the guy who gets to make the decision, but he has influence over that decision. This doesn’t mean the house of cards is coming down, but it means somebody jostled the table the house of cards sits on. If China stops buying bits of the United States’ debt, things could get bad. Interest rates might skyrocket, government spending may have to be drastically slashed, taxes may have to be raised. Just saying.

…But Somebody’s Got to Do It.

Maybe you’ve seen this show on the Discovery Channel called Dirty Jobs. As you can guess from the title, it features a good natured fellow who goes around the country learning about and doing the sorts of dirty jobs that like it or not must be done in this country.

I don’t honestly see how anybody can watch a whole episode of this show and still think there’s such a thing as “Jobs Americans Won’t Do.”

The current estimate is that there are 11 million illegal immigrants living in the United States — a Senate proposal to allow 87,000 guest workers annually is nothing more than a paper parasol in a hailstorm. Most of the undocumented immigrants do their best to hold down jobs and follow the law except for the fact that they are here at all breaks the law. I have said before that we honestly have no way of telling whether they are just honest tax paying law abiding (except for immigration) folks trying to make a living or evil terraists and/or drug lords trying to do us harm. Nor do we particularly know how many of these people are living in poverty or are homeless — and would such people be included in, or over and above the reported statistics? But that’s not my point today.

My point is that these people hold jobs that could be held by a legal worker. The deliberately optimistic numbers released by the government* show that there are 7 million unemployed people who want jobs and another 1.5 million who are not actively looking for work but would gladly take a job if one came along. This says nothing of the millions of people who have been “retrained” from skilled labor to unskilled labor.

We are told Americans don’t want these jobs because these are low paying, low skill jobs. They involve hard work, long hours, and sometimes deliberately ignoring safety rules. The truth is that some employers want exploitable workers, and workers who fear they will be deported if they say anything are just perfect. Well it turns out that the people who have these jobs don’t much like that either.

The truth is that illegal immigrants are here because they can get jobs. We need to create incentives to businesses such that it’s easier and cheaper to improve pay and working conditions so Americans do “want” the job than to hire easily exploited foreign workers. Molly Ivins suggests jail terms for hiring illegal workers. It might make prices go up in a way that can’t be hidden in the Consumer Price Index, but we all benefit from having safe, decent paying jobs.

In closing: Joe Average can’t be a real voter because that house is owned by Joseph Average; How to Succeed in Retail; Greenspeak v. Bernankespeak, and New! Greenspeak for Kids!; and to paraphrase the classic children’s book Go, Dog! Go!, “Do you like my hat?”

* Under these criteria, just as an example, I am considered employed despite not having been paid to work because I “did at least 15 hours of unpaid work in a family-operated enterprise.” That means every high school kid who helps out after school at the family farm/teriyaki-stand/taqueria/store is theoretically “employed.”

Shorties of the Corn

Segue: Alternet points out that young people are being buried under student loans. In fact they point out, (emphasis mine)….

There is social control in loading young people up with financial obligations. Burdened with debt and desperate to have and keep a job, there is no way they can take a wild year off, and there is certainly no time for protesting, organizing or causing the kind of social and political trouble young people cause from time to time.

How many young people turn away from low-paying but vital professions because they can’t earn enough to pay back their loans? How many potential social workers, pro bono lawyers, journalists, environmentalists, teachers, artists, secondary medical professionals and community workers are we losing?

How ironic that the very next item I should read on Alternet would argue that we could sure use the kind of political activism we had in the 60s.

Reprise of theme: The Motley Fool scratches their head as they realize that a lot people with credit card debt are just trying to pay the darn bills. Maybe it’s because of the student loan debt.

Variations on thematic material: 2005 brought us a record level of personal bankruptcies, up 30% from 2004, as people rushed to file ahead of new rules. Expect to hear creditors complain about this any moment now. They got the new law they wanted, now let them wallow in the results.

And now for something completely different: by now you might have heard (assuming you keep track of such things) that Microsoft is delaying the next version of Windows until early 2007. Some people think this is bad news and some people think this is good news. I think it is irrelevant news. So what if they miss the Christmas sales cycle? Nobody is going to say “Oh well, the new version of Windows isn’t out so I might as well buy a Mac.” Some people will go ahead and get their Christmas PCs with the old operating system, planning to upgrade (Microsoft makes even more money), and others will simply put off their purchase a couple months (Microsoft makes the same money, but in a different accounting period). Someone, please point out the bad part for me.

It’s nice in the Forest: Dave Johnson over at Seeing the Forest has been absolutely on fire, on target, and on the money the last few days. Where to begin? Bloggers on the nature of our Government, Listening to Everyone including privileged communications, letting the Chinese run the radiation detectors at American ports, or Who is the Economy For are all great posts in a sea of good posts.

And finally, *itch, PhD tells us she might respect the Pro-Life movement if they actually supported life-affirming, mom-supporting, abortion preventing policies.

Security Theatre Act XII: Shiva

Today’s act comes to us from Cory Doctorow’s commentary on this commentary from security expert Bruce Schneier. As usual, Mr. Schneier thwaps us with reality, and it stings. There’s a lot of good material, but if I had to distill it to one quote, it would be this:

The terrorists’ goals have nothing to do with airplanes; their goals are to cause terror.

Airplane passenger screening as done in the United States is a failure; test after test proves it. It fails because of human boredom. It fails because we are using humans to do the job of a computer. It fails because it assumes that what has gone before is what will come again. It fails because the system is easily gamed. It fails because the system is aimed too broadly in the wrong direction.

What he does not say is that the system appears to be deliberately mind-numbing for passengers as well as screeners, that passengers are being desensitized to taking off their jackets and shoes and lining up to present their papers, that actually thinking about the system and its effectiveness is discouraged, that all the plans for a supposed get-out-of-the-security-line-free card involve paying a private company to investigate us. At the risk of sounding a little alarmist, the companies doing these checks are not constrained by the 4th and 5th Amendments to the Constitution — even if they were, you signed up for them to find out everything they can about you — and all the information they find will be turned over to the TSA, an agency of the United States Government.

Mr. Doctorow points out that you almost need nine hands to juggle everything in the security line. Maybe Shiva could make do.

In closing: corporate homewreckers; ” Bad developers, who constitute the majority of all developers worldwide, can write bad code in any language you throw at them”; “We don’t need no steenkin warrant”; and bookends on health care.

Sugar Rush

Some years back, I was reading a medical journal called The Cortland Forum. Now, those of you familiar with medical journals know you are more likely to find this one in your doctor’s bathroom than his private office. It’s about 20% cartoons by volume. However, there is a section where doctors get to outline “interesting cases” they have encountered. The one I am thinking of right now involved a man whose wife had made him an appointment, concerned that he’d lost a bunch of weight despite not actually changing his diet much. It turned out this fellow drank copious amounts of soda at work — like multiple two liter bottles daily — and had recently switched from regular to sugar-free varieties. Gee, imagine that; cut a thousand calories from your daily diet and watch the pounds melt away.

And this brings us to last Monday’s L.A. Times. Researchers in Massachusetts did a study and found that teenagers can lose weight by simply switching to beverages that do not contain sugar. This should not be a revelation! I have always said you have to watch sugars — even the naturally occurring ones — to lose weight. The FDA says if you want to lose weight you need to pay attention to the calories you drink. So do the folks at Kid’s Health and the folks at Family Doctor. This is hardly cutting-edge research. Just remember the next time you reach for a glass of orange juice that if you want to lose weight, you are better off just eating the whole orange.

On an only sort of related note, I’d like to talk about Food In Bar Form. It turns out they may well be Candy Bars that Taste Bad. If you must eat the darn things, remember that Not all of them are good for you. These folks recommend “It can be confusing, but you want to look for whole grains, brown rice syrup, something that’s complex. You want to stay away from things that are refined, that have preservatives – anything you can’t pronounce.” Well heck, wouldn’t it be simpler to eat a piece of fruit or a packet of nuts? Heck, make it a balanced diet and eat both! It sure seems like the real purpose of these bars is to suck money out of your pocket $2 at a time.

Left Side of the Economy

As in, Left Behind

Let’s start with an economic problem so obvious many people don’t think about it: water. We can’t live without it, and neither can people who live in developing nations. It should be but isn’t obvious that if your life is focused on basic necessities like boiling and filtering your water, you aren’t focused on productivity. A thousand million people do not have access to safe drinking water, and the problem is getting worse. Even though there are inexpensive things that can be done to improve water quality and supplies, it is expensive to make an entire country’s water supply safe. Private money, thought to be the solution, is not forthcoming. And forgive me for thinking that is a blessing in disguise. Water is too important for a profit motive to be involved.

Another thing we can’t do without — but you probably think about it from time to time — is healthcare. People who are ill generally have trouble doing their jobs well, assuming they can work at all. Well, there’s good news and bad news. It turns out that most Americans get roughly equal healthcare, regardless of race or status. Unfortunately that care is mediocre. I love these last two paragraphs:

Health experts blame the overall poor care on an overburdened, fragmented system that fails to keep close track of patients with an increasing number of multiple conditions.

Quality specialists said improvements can come with more public reporting of performance, more uniform training, more computerized checks and more coordination by patients.

So the problem is too many departments and too much work, but the solution is another department that makes more work. Right.

Now on to an underutilized resource in the United States, ironic considering how commonly it is found, the female labor pool. The summary: “We’re so far behind the rest of the world in commonsense, pro-women and pro-family policies that we don’t need to reinvent the wheel to figure out what works…. The returns on investing in working families are high.”

It’s hard to have an economy when the world is coming apart. Some people have been saying for decades that ecologically friendly initiatives would hurt the economy. They are wrong. There is a lot of money to be made developing and selling green technology. And besides, if we destroy the planet, there will be no more economy.

Have you ever tried really hard to figure something out — a song title, how to solve a problem, why something works the way it does — only to have the answer mysteriously pop into your head hours or days later, usually while relaxing or thinking about something completely unrelated? You almost certainly knew your body requires regular rest, but it turns out your mind needs rest too! Time you take to relax might be the most productive time of all. And Americans don’t take very much time off at all.

So just maybe the world would be a better place if everybody had access to safe drinking water and quality healthcare, if every family could count on maternity leave, affordable childcare and other support services, if we had access to more “green” technology, and if we could just all take a break now and then.

In closing, How to get a Conservative to Lie.

Invasion of the Shorties Snatchers

Mom, can I come home? On one hand, the economy is sufficiently bad that there is a societal trend towards young adults staying at home or moving back home. On the other hand, how quickly we forget how many seasons Meathead and Gloria lived with the Bunkers, how many years it took to scrape together the money for the downpayment on the Jefferson’s old place. (Thanks to Sarah, for pointing out this story!)

Wanted: Alternative to Hillary. A fascinating piece about the intersection of money, politics, and influence. His name is Chris Korge, and he supports Hillary Clinton in 2008 — but only if she’s running.

Fifteen scientific replies to challenges by creationists. Not just a must read it’s a must understand.

The Chinese proverb is “Wealth never survives three generations.” The problem is that nobody is teaching young people to manage their money.

Go Sandra! Retired Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O’Connor has spent the last several days shaking trees and slaughtering sacred cows, showing us all what a real conservative sounds like! In one apparently brilliant speech, she blasted pro-life advocates on Terri Schiavo, cautioned against “strong-arming” the independent judiciary, and warned against the beginnings of a dictatorship.

Finally, yet another story to keep an eye on: possible mistakes — including disobeying a judge’s direct instructions — may mean accused “20th hijacker” mistrial. I am at a loss for why the prosecution would deliberately do things to jeopardize this case. After all, the Government badly needs to show that they are on top of the terrorism thing, and what better way to do that than to convict this guy? Unfortunately, I think the Christian Science Monitor has hit on an underlying and very chilling fact: “‘This [Moussaoui trial] is about whether the criminal justice system has any role in the war on terror,’ says Juliette Kayyem, a public policy expert at Harvard’s John F. Kennedy School of Government.” If there is a mistrial, a retrial, or anything short of sending Moussaoui to death row, I expect to hear rhetoric about how these people, these suspected terrorists should not be tried in civilian courts at all, but rather by military tribunals. However bad terrorists may be, it is very dangerous to the rest of society to have certain crimes tried in secret courts.

Have a great week, everybody.

Feel the Mighty Power of Stat-Fu!

Bill Fleckenstein has been bearish as long as I have known of his existence, which is going on a decade now. Even he is in awe of the mighty statistical wonkistry involved in unraveling Joe and Jane Average’s dilemma: “The government tells us the economy is fine and unemployment is low, but things sure feel rough from here.” A direct quote from Mr. Fleckenstein: “I have been aware of nearly all the statistical tricks used by the government since they were implemented. Nonetheless, seeing them collectively described in one article is incredibly sobering.”

He thinks this article is so important that he is giving us the short version days before the original — economist John Williams interviewed by Kate Welling — will be available without a subscription. Some of these items are not a shock to those of you who have been reading here a while, but Williams and Fleckenstein have the numbers and methods to tell you the underlying whys and wherefores. Go read how….

* Real unemployment is more like 12%, more than twice the official Department of Labor number.

* The government literally changed the rules of how inflation is measured to get a lower number.

* That still wasn’t good enough so they started changing the items whose prices were measured.

* If they hadn’t tinkered with these numbers, Social Security checks would be 70% higher than they are now. No wonder money seems tight to Granny.

* American’s incomes are lower than reported too, because of some accounting slight of hand that assumes homeowners pay rent to themselves!

So if you would like to think I see the economy as “a glass half empty,” I would like to remind you to pay attention to what’s really in the glass. These things are even more startling when you realize that Income is not keeping pace with the official inflation numbers, and remember both those numbers are tweaked to seem as rosy as possible.

In closing: cause of death, corporate culture; new bankruptcy rules suck, even judges say so; some tips on getting health insurance coverage; and the real Cola Wars.

Updates, Welcomes, That Kinda Stuff

Don’t forget to look over at the right column on the main page. I just updated the “Stuff I Read” section and added “Webcomics I Read.”

Also, I finally joined BlogHer. A special welcome to anybody who clicked through from there! Also, a warm welcome and thanks for reading to folks who come to us through Jerry Kindall, Pure Land Mountain, Bloglines, HealthyConcerns, Down the Avenue, Elisa Camahort, World Blogs, Fecundity, Foomart, and anybody else I might have forgotten.

First (Amendment) Things First

Want to read something scary?

Only one in four Americans can name more than one of the five freedoms guaranteed by the First Amendment (freedom of speech, religion, press, assembly and petition for redress of grievances.) But more than half can name at least two members of the cartoon family [“The Simpsons”], according to a survey.

No wonder we don’t mind watching our Constitutional rights slip away; too many of us don’t even know what our rights are. It gets worse: “About one in five people thought the right to own a pet was protected, and 38 percent said they believed the right against self-incrimination contained in the Fifth Amendment was a First Amendment right, the survey found.” Well, at least people know they have the right not to incriminate themselves, even if they are a little hazy on where that right comes from. You can read the whole Bill of Rights over at Cornell’s site, but if you don’t mind, I’d like to explore the First Amendment a little more:

Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances.

Wikipedia tells us that “Originally, the Bill of Rights applied only to the federal government and not to the several state governments…. However, in 1925 with Gitlow v. New York, the Supreme Court ruled that the Fourteenth Amendment (which had been adopted in 1868) made certain applications of the Bill of Rights applicable to the states. The Supreme Court then cited the Gitlow case as precedent for a series of decisions that made most of the provisions of the Bill of Rights applicable to the states.” So if you’d like to mentally say “The Government” where the original text says “Congress,” you would not be inaccurate. Let’s quickly look at our First Amendment rights:

Freedom of Religion means both freedom to believe whatever you want — and remember the Pilgrims were just the first of many people who came to this land looking for religious freedom — and freedom from Government dictated religion. Don’t try to argue that the Founding Fathers meant freedom to practice any kind of Christianity you like, because guys like Jefferson were well educated and knew about things like Mohammedans and the Salem Witch Trials. The same First Amendment that protects your right to practice any sect of Christianity protects your right to practice Islam, Judaism, Buddhism, Zoroastrianism, Satanism, Wicca, Shinto, Hinduism, Pastafarianism, or anything else you can think of. It furthermore protects all of us from the establishment of any sort of Holy Law, whether it is Sharia or Leviticus. The places where the practice of religion have been successfully superseded by the law are few, and dictated by an overriding good: in Texas it is not legal to withhold medical treatment from minors, regardless of whether the parents are Christian Science adherents; notwithstanding that some religions consider a young person to be an “adult” at 13 or so, it is still not legal to marry them off at this age. It is not a coincidence that both of these examples involve children; adults are free to do a lot of things, but they are not free to harm kids, even in the name of God.

Freedom of Speech or of the Press are kind of lumped together in the original text, so I will deal with them together. The right to say things and the right to publish what you say are closely related in any event. The Government cannot stop us from saying pretty much whatever we like, nor can they stop a newspaper from printing whatever they like. Period. The end. I fail to see how any kind of Government imposed “gag rule” can possibly be Constitutional unless issues of national security are involved. Nevertheless there are certain limits on this freedom that I think most of us can agree are a good thing: we can’t go around threatening people; we can’t incite violence or riots (the classic “Yelling fire in a crowded theatre” example); if we publish something that is demonstrably untrue, we should expect to be held accountable. However, when I say “held accountable” I mean correction statements or paying damages; we don’t normally put people in jail for publishing lies.

The right to peaceably assemble is in there too. We have the right to get together with our friends pretty much anyplace that we are allowed to be, as long as we play nice. So all those anti-loitering statutes stand on the shaky ground of assuming certain assembly to be not peaceable. And those “free speech zones” are a complete travesty. Freedom to gather together in protest is implicitly protected, again with the caveat that it must stay peaceful.

The right to petition the Government for redress of grievances is in my opinion one of the most underrated protections we have. This is the right to go to court, the right to say somebody did something wrong. And make no mistake about it, the First Amendment says the Congress and therefore the Government cannot take away your right to go to court. And here is why I think this right is underrated: Congress has passed several laws in recent years which either limit court review, or specifically say the law and/or actions of the Government cannot be challenged in court! The devil you say! Why aren’t the Jack McCoy’s of this nation standing up and challenging this affront to our liberties?

We must never forget that the First Amendment and the rest of the Bill of Rights was written by people who overthrew the legal Government.