Let the backlash begin

Over the weekend, I happened to hear a piece on NPR about young adults without health insurance. Why didn’t they have coverage? Because they couldn’t afford it. One young lady explained that it was a simple choice between paying for insurance or paying the rent. One Democratic Senator they interviewed agreed that this was a problem, and the answer was the individual mandate, or as I prefer to call it mandatory insurance. How exactly forcing people to buy something they can’t afford solves anything, I don’t know.

And that’s where the public option comes in. The insurance companies have proven that given the chance, they will raise prices and deny coverage whenever possible, or offer “affordable” plans so spartan that they don’t actually cover anything. A public option that anybody can buy into keeps the insurance companies honest, because We The People can say “enough of enriching my **** insurance company!”

We The People understand this. Alas, our Senators do not. They are so beholden to special interests that they have killed the public option, or threatened to load it up with nonsense and requirements and triggers and abortion bans and only lobbyists know what else. Our healthcare debate has become so tortured that other world leaders are asking our President what the heck is going on.

If they pass nothing more than mandatory insurance and a few cosmetic reforms, Howard Dean correctly predicts a backlash.

Not everyone agrees that the public option is dead, but it sure looks to be in critical condition.

If this is what we are left with, let’s just scrap it all. Let’s put together 5 pages of legislation that does the most critical things we need out of health insurance reform:

  1. Outlaw pre-existing conditions in all forms and for every purpose including pricing, coverage, and claims.
  2. Regulate rate increases, perhaps indexed to inflation (CPI increase + 5%?).
  3. Put doctors, not insurance clerks, in charge of making medical decisions.
  4. Change the tax code so that everybody can deduct health insurance premiums even if they don’t itemize and even if they aren’t self-employed.

I think everybody except insurance companies and their purchased members of Congress can agree that these things are essential. If we can’t agree on anything else, let’s not make things worse.

It’s [Still] the Economy….

It’s going to be a long, slow crawl out of this economic pit.

Visualize if you will, two triangles. These triangles meet at the middle, like a bow tie. Please excuse my crude little sketch.

triangles

That middle point we will call Consumer spending. It depends on how much money people have, which in turn depends on whether they have jobs. It also depends on their other expenses and what access they have to credit/loans. Right now the consumer has it rough — unless he or she is in the top 1% of earners. The good news (sort of) is that new unemployment claims are down; the bad news is that those claims are still way too high. For reference, the poverty line on a family of 4 is just under $22,000.

On one side of the triangle, we have housing and banks. We all know real estate prices have plummeted. This drop is even worse if you look at housing priced in gold. I put banks at the top of this triangle because they hold all the cards. They are involved in every mortgage, both good and bad. They effectively control housing in many markets not only through mortgage origination, but through sale of foreclosures and pre-foreclosures. They also directly control consumer credit, and therefore whether people have the ability to spend. Bank lending standards are notoriously tight right now.

The other triangle is more complicated. Insurance is at the bottom because, like housing, it is an expense. In fact it’s a wildly rising expense, having gone up a minimum of 88% in the last decade.  This is clearly not a sustainable trend. Because most Americans get insurance through their employers, this impacts whether or not employers can afford to hire; indeed it impacts whether employers can continue to employ. Why employers aren’t begging for Medicare for all or at least a public option I have no idea.

That arrow between banks and employers reflects that they depend on one another. Employers put their money in banks; employers often need loans from banks. This is particularly true of start-up companies that need funds to buy supplies and equipment before they can hire people. Those tight lending criteria I mentioned before also effect employers and impact whether they can be in business.

The points on these triangles are connected, and we won’t see an improvement in consumer spending until something is done about banks, housing, employment, and insurance. They simply have nothing to spend.

Oh Nuts, Another Health Insurance Reform Post

I’m going to start by pointing out that not only are real wages down to levels not seen since 1997, not only is the poverty rate up to a level not seen since 1997, health coverage is down. One in every 20 people who had coverage from their employers last year don’t have it anymore. The only coverage gains were for government insurance programs such as Medicare (hrm, pesky socialism!) Moreover, income hasn’t kept up with reality for the last 40 years. No wonder things seem tight!

So despite the fact that We the People are  being squeezed, we get “reforms” that protect the profits of insurance companies, and helpful advice to not need coverage. Nothing is being done to make sure that “coverage” actually “covers” us. Nobody is offering to let Joe and Jane Average buy into government coverage programs that are actually known to work (and work pretty well for the most part).

Open Left is a little behind me on this one: the Democratic Party and its candidates don’t get a dime from me until they start to deliver on some of their promises. In the meantime, every time the Party calls me, I will be sending money to organizations that actually campaign for my interests. Don’t tell me the party has to be “centrist” to get “bipartisan support,” because the majority of people support a very progressive agenda by their standards, and bipartisanship once again means “do it the Republicans’ way.” Don’t tell me to be reasonable, because there is no reason we can’t do this right. And finally, don’t tell me that we can’t get it done in Congress, because they have majorities in both houses.

The party ran on hope and change. It’s time to deliver

In closing: VW’s 240 MPG car will go into production; wouldn’t it be nice if employers followed the law?; a follow-up on different ways to measure unemployment; Levi’s got it together; heart attack rates fall 17% after public smoking bans; the paradox of thrift; send the crooks to prison; scumbag banks; safety tips; and finally, Happy Equinox.

Clive Barker’s Book of Shorties

Flower Power: 10 things you can do to start a community garden.

Obligatory Insurance Items: So you’ve heard that we have 45,000 deaths annually that are essentially from lack of health insurance, right? These are deaths that would have been prevented if people had thought they could afford to see a doctor sooner. We’ve got insurance companies paying huge fines for dropping people who might need care — but only when they get caught and taken to court. We’ve also got insurance companies effective saying that women’s health issues aren’t their problem (covering women who are trying to escape abusive relationships or who once had a C-section might cost money). And our Congressmice want to pander to the insurance companies. Well, most of them anyway.

Bankers hold all the cards: Ok, household and business debt is down. That’s good, right? Well, the reason debt is down is that banks aren’t lending, despite the fact that TARP was supposed to give the banks plenty of liquidity (i.e., money) so they could lend.  Their excuse? Nobody “qualified” wants to borrow. Of course they set the qualifications, which used to be ludicrously loose and are now ludicrously tight. Guess what? No real end to the recession without new startups putting people to work, and that’s not happening until startups have access to capital.

On Economic Inequality: Why it’s a problem.

Nevada is a funny place: Aw gee, maybe it’s a bad idea for Medical Assistants to be giving Botox injections and chemo drugs and a bunch of other stuff. Flu shots? That’s ok. On the other hand, I’m kinda looking forward to Penn and Teller’s new TV show.

Some good economic news, for a change: If you actually still have a job, your wages likely went up! What’s more, you’re less likely to lose your job! Of course since 5 states now have unemployment rates of over 12%, that’s not saying a whole lot. Remember, that’s the super-narrow “U3” rate, not the wider U6 number.

Condoms can save the world: It turns out that preventing unwanted pregnancies is 4 to 5 times more cost effective than most “green” technology. But nobody wants to talk about that because contraceptives are “controversial”. News flash, the people who are against contraceptives also don’t believe in global warming, and many of them think the world is ending in their lifetime anyway. Moving on now!

Um, yeah: So I conclude on a related note, 10 worst cars to have sex in.

Happy Saturday, Happy New Year to my Jewish readers.

Open Letter to the President

I am a real estate professional and homeowner in Las Vegas, NV. As you surely know, Vegas has been hard hit by foreclosures. We continue to have a high number of foreclosures in process and a substantial number of bank-owned homes available in our local real estate market. All the major banks and mortgage servicers have homes for sale in our area: Wells Fargo, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Chase, etc.. In addition, they are lien holders for the thousands of additional homes owned by people attempting a “short sale”. Thus, the banks collectively control over 75% of our real estate market before even considering their role as a lender for new sales.

The banks are using this position to further drive down prices, and exacerbate the decline in property values. This is a direct threat to Americans’ retirement accounts and municipalities’ tax rolls. Moreover, it has the potential to drive builders out of business altogether as it is impossible for them to compete with ludicrous prices well under $100 per square foot.

Banks are setting prices locally around $70-90 per square foot for nicer foreclosed single family homes that need a minimum of work. For under $60 per square foot, the property needs serious work but is still habitable. Only once a property is priced under $45 per square foot are homes “gutted.”

The initial low price is designed to bring in many offers in a short period of time – often dozens and sometimes over a hundred in just a few days. This feeding frenzy of bidding is hidden under most MLS systems. While locally, the final sales prices is a matter of public record, that is not true everywhere. The bank’s goal is to quickly get rid of the property no matter what, minimizing maintenance/utility costs, taxes paid, and homeowner’s association fees due.

This combines with the new appraisal rules in a toxic fashion. Under HVCC, many inexperienced or out-of-area appraisers are choosing to use these artificially low priced homes as comparables to non-distressed sales. They do this without regard or even knowledge of the condition of the properties in question. In one recent case, an appraiser compared a home that had been recently renovated to a home that was in desperate need of work. Thus, the values of all local homes are deflated by the big banks dumping inventory.

This practice is almost certainly not limited to our local market. These issues threaten the long term housing stability of our nation. Banks collectively control our markets, and they must be made to “play fair” rather than distorting prices for short-term gain. I have not even addressed the abusive practices of banks towards the potential buyers of these homes: mandatory pre-qualification with the lender that owns the property; contract addenda that strip the buyer of many protections they have under their original purchase contract; capricious and arbitrary closing dates. Nor have I addressed the bank-imposed labyrinth of frustration faced by all participants in a short sale.

If any other industry attempted these business practices, the Federal Trade Commission would investigate sanction them. As much as the various states would like to come down on these and other abusive activities, the big banks are federally regulated and thus almost untouchable by state authorities. It is time for the Feds to investigate the big players in the foreclosed property market, punish those whose actions hurt both home owners and home buyers, and make sure that all parties follow the law.

Thank you for your consideration.

In closing: Follow up on the Baucus Plan. I guess it was written for his *ahem* other constituents.

Baucused

Pretty much everybody has been focused on the Baucus Plan, announced this morning. Despite the fact that a public option is supported by the majority of the public and doctors, it has no public option. Instead, it has a watered down co-op provision. The CBO says that a public option would reduce premiums for everybody — and the average family health insurance policy now costs $13,375 annually! That’s more than double what it was in 2000 — the co-ops are only available to employees if the plan at work is not “affordable” (meaning 10-13% of income depending how you calculate it). No word on whether the co-ops are available to the self-employed. And for all that it has been pitched as something that can get bi-partisan support, not a single Republican supports it. It’s just another mandatory insurance plan with bells, whistles, and gifts to insurance companies.

So why exactly is anybody willing to compromise and support this?

If we can’t have real health insurance reform, let’s just get the few things everybody can agree needs to happen: make rescission illegal; make “pre-existing conditions” a thing of the past. I bet they could get that written up into a 3 page bill tomorrow and pass it by the weekend if they wanted. In an ideal world, give states the right to regulate rate increases (or just cap them at the rate of inflation) and let everybody deduct health insurance on their taxes. But please, let’s stop pretending that the crock of **** being stirred on Capitol Hill is good for any of us regular people.

In closing: One drug bust every 18 seconds, and that’s a decrease; former CNBC anchor complains that Americans are held hostage by Wall Street; on independent contractors, the DOL, and the IRS; Americans agree on how to fix Social Security (but will Congress do what needs to be done?); humans still evolving; Does Kanye have Asperger’s Syndrome?; and hiking safety tips.

Happy Labor Day

Here’s to the American worker, even the ones doing the dirtiest jobs on their street.

Many of our younger workers are still living with their parents, and/or doing without health insurance.

For many, Labor Day has changed from just the end of Summer to become a day of thankfulness that some workers do in fact have jobs. Our economy is losing jobsover 203,000 jobs lost in the last 10 years — and those with jobs are making less money. Many people have been unemployed so long that they have stopped actively looking for work. Many of our unemployed have lost their job for the first time ever and are having a hard time coping. Two thirds of them are borrowing money from friends and family. A quarter of them are college graduates.

We now have over a million homeless school kids in this nation. Next time some personal responsibility zealot starts talking about how people need to stop being so lazy or whatever it is that they’re on about, ask what should be done about these million plus kids who through no fault of their own don’t have a place to call home. It’s not like they can just tell mom and dad where to get off and rent apartments of their own. Add colorful language as appropriate.

Without access to capital and affordable insurance, entrepreneurs cannot start businesses that will hire the unemployed, the discouraged, the parents of homeless kids. If we are going to count on big business to get us out of this Great Recession, we’re going to be here a very long time indeed.

To those of you who are employed, Happy Labor Day. To those of you who want a job, I hope you land an interview tomorrow. To those of you who are homeless, or living with your parents, or not able to pay all your bills, I wish you better times for the future.

In Closing: a few obligatory words about health insurance reform; Helen tells you how it is.